Boris and Biden: A diplomatic odd couple faces pressure to define the US-UK relationship
In style and in substance, President Joe Biden and British Prime Minister Boris Johnson are two very different men leading two countries whose relationship makes up one of the most important global alliances.
Biden rode into the White House last year on a record that spanned nearly 50 years in public service. And while the President ran as an antidote to then-President Donald Trump, Johnson has often been compared to the 45th President for his populist message and often brash comments. The similarities between Trump and Johnson aren't lost on Biden, who on the 2020 campaign trail once called Johnson a "physical and emotional clone" of Trump.
Given the tight ties between the US and UK, observers expect the public portions of the meeting to be cordial and warm. But both men enter this weekend's diplomatic gathering under pressure to define their respective roles in the world and amongst other global powers.
The official previews of their meeting have been straightforward. The White House has indicated Biden will touch on a number of issues during his engagements with Johnson, including the coronavirus pandemic, climate change, financing global infrastructure in the developing world, maintaining a diplomatic presence in Afghanistan and other issues related to the Indo-Pacific and the Middle East. The UK government has relayed that Johnson, the host of the G7 summit, will focus on ways for the world to "build back better from coronavirus" and tackling climate change.
But their meeting on Thursday also comes at a time of tension over Northern Ireland's role in the UK's Brexit agreement with the European Union, which is a key issue for Biden. The meeting will set the tone for both US-UK relations over the next four years and Biden's diplomatic agenda as they confer in southwest England. It also kicks off Biden's swing across Europe for meetings with America's G7 partners, NATO allies, the European Union and, finally, Russian President Vladimir Putin.
Biden plans to press Johnson on Northern Ireland during their first face-to-face meeting on Thursday, according to senior administration officials. It's an issue he feels very strongly about, officials said, and has watched with trepidation as Brexit has caused new questions about the durability of the Good Friday Agreement, which ended the violent conflict in Northern Ireland by bringing unionists and Irish republicans into a power-sharing government, and peace in the region.
Biden has raised the issue with Johnson in telephone calls ahead of the summit, and diplomats have discussed the matter with British counterparts in the lead-up to the two leaders' bilateral talks. But officials denied a report in British newspaper The Times that American diplomats held heated conversations with UK officials on the matter ahead of the summit, including issuing a formal reprimand, saying the discussions on the matter have not been "heightened."
Questions still remain about what the long-term future of the US-UK relationship will look like and whether it will be superseded by America's relationships with other allies in the west. European allies -- reeling from Trump's America First-style diplomacy -- are also still not clear if Biden's effort to bring American diplomacy back will result in a return to the status quo or result in something new. They're also not sure how long Biden's style of diplomacy will last, given that Trump might run for reelection.
"I think to me the defining question is how both sides use the next three and a half years, and if it's sort of a transformative period, or if it's more of a return to the status quo pre-Trump," said Thomas Wright, the director of the Center on the United States and Europe at the Brookings Institution. "I don't think we're going to get an answer to that at this summit, but I think that's sort of the defining choice that's out there."
Biden and Johnson's relationship will no doubt be one to watch throughout Biden's swing through Europe as he looks to reassure US allies that America will once again be conventional and reliable on the world stage.
The two diverge on policy on several fronts, including Biden's opposition to Brexit and Northern Ireland's role as part of the Britain's exit from the European Union. The part of the Brexit deal that creates a de facto trade border in the Irish Sea, the Northern Ireland Protocol, has contributed to rising tensions in the region this year. Biden has long been skeptical of Brexit, and holds deep affection for Ireland, his ancestral homeland. In his first speech in the United Kingdom on Wednesday, he quoted a line from Yeats.
National security adviser Jake Sullivan said on Wednesday that Biden is expected to bring up Northern Ireland during his meeting with Johnson, but told reporters his comments would be reserved to making "statements of principle."
"He's not issuing threats or ultimatums. He's going to simply convey his deep-seated belief that we need to stand behind and protect this protocol," Sullivan said.
The two men also hold different views on immigration and foreign aid, which Johnson has opted to slash.
A global minimum tax agreement among the G7's finance ministers kicked off the summit week on past weekend -- marking an early win for the Biden administration ahead of the President's arrival. But even before Air Force One's wheels touched down on the tarmac in England, UK Finance Minister Rishi Sunak indicated that he was pushing for a carveout for the city of London in the agreement -- marking another potential rift in relations.
Some of the differences are more visceral.
In an op-ed while serving as London's mayor, Johnson insulted then-President Barack Obama's Kenyan heritage as part of a discussion about the President's opposition to Brexit. Biden, of course, was serving alongside Obama at the time as vice president. And there is, of course, Biden's crack about Johnson's resemblance to Trump.
Charles Kupchan, a former senior director for European affairs at the White House National Security Council during the Obama administration, told CNN much of the discussion between Johnson and Biden in front of cameras is expected to be cordial.